The highly anticipated 2025 Concacaf Gold Cup Final is set for Sunday, featuring a classic rivalry match between the United States Men`s National Team (USMNT) and Mexico. Both sides have navigated the tournament successfully, arriving at the final undefeated despite the American squad reportedly missing some key players.
The USMNT secured their spot in the final after finishing first in Group D and then overcoming Guatemala with a 2-1 victory in the semifinals. Mexico, who topped Group A, reached the final by defeating Honduras 1-0 in their semifinal encounter.
Match Details and Betting Information
The final is scheduled to kick off at 7 p.m. ET at NRG Stadium in Houston.
According to the latest betting lines from DraftKings Sportsbook:
- Mexico is favored on the 90-minute money line at +150.
- The United States is the underdog at +210.
- A draw at the end of 90 minutes is listed at +205.
- The over/under for total goals is set at 2.5.
- For winning the cup outright, Mexico holds odds of -135, while the USA is at +105.
Why Mexico is Positioned to Win
Mexico has demonstrated a strong defensive performance throughout the competition, notably recording four clean sheets. They also hold a recent advantage over the U.S., having won their last international friendly meeting 2-0 in October.
Goalkeeper Luis Malagon has been a key factor, having not conceded a goal since the group stage match against the Dominican Republic (a 3-2 victory). The 28-year-old, who plays domestically for Club America, had a solid club season, registering 10 clean sheets in 29 starts while allowing only 27 goals and maintaining a 74.2% save percentage.
Leading the attack for Mexico is forward Raul Jimenez. The 34-year-old scored the lone goal in their semifinal win against Honduras and also found the net in the group stage win over the Dominican Republic. In the English Premier League last season for Brighton & Hove Albion, he started 30 games, contributing 12 goals and three assists from 95 shots, 32 of which were on target.
Why the United States Can Win
Despite missing some key players, the USMNT has found offensive production, particularly from midfielder Malik Tillman. In his five Gold Cup appearances, Tillman has tallied three goals and two assists. This includes a two-goal performance in the 5-0 victory over Trinidad and Tobago on June 15th, and a goal in the 2-1 win against Haiti.
Midfielder Diego Luna has also been a significant offensive force for the Americans. The 21-year-old also boasts three goals and two assists in the tournament. He was responsible for both goals in the U.S. semifinal win over Guatemala and also scored in the group stage match against Costa Rica. For Real Salt Lake in MLS, he had a productive season, scoring eight goals and providing four assists in 16 starts.
Adrian Whitmore 
Benedict Kingsley