Thu. Jul 3rd, 2025

Eastern Conference Wild Card Playoff Race Heats Up

With just two weeks remaining in the regular season, the fight for the final wild card spot in the Eastern Conference is intense, with five teams still in contention.

Two of these teams were in action on Thursday night. The Montreal Canadiens played against the Boston Bruins, and the Columbus Blue Jackets hosted the Colorado Avalanche.

As of Thursday, the Canadiens held the second wild card spot with 79 points and 25 regulation wins in 74 games. The New York Rangers are level on points but have played more games. The Blue Jackets are just two points behind, and the Detroit Red Wings and New York Islanders are also close behind.

Statistical models favor the Canadiens as the most likely to make the playoffs (42.1%), followed by the Blue Jackets (27.4%), Rangers (26.8%), Islanders (2.8%), and Red Wings (2.7%). The outcomes of Thursday`s games will be crucial in shaping the playoff picture.

As the regular season approaches its end on April 17, we`re closely monitoring the NHL playoff race, including the battle for draft lottery positions.

Note: Playoff probabilities are provided by Stathletes.

Current Playoff Matchups

Eastern Conference

  • Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa Senators
  • Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Florida Panthers
  • Washington Capitals vs. Montreal Canadiens
  • Carolina Hurricanes vs. New Jersey Devils

Western Conference

  • Winnipeg Jets vs. St. Louis Blues
  • Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche
  • Vegas Golden Knights vs. Minnesota Wild
  • Los Angeles Kings vs. Edmonton Oilers

Clinching Scenarios

Tampa Bay Lightning will clinch a playoff berth if:

  • They defeat the Ottawa Senators
  • They lose in overtime/shootout to the Senators, AND either the Montreal Canadiens lose to the Boston Bruins OR the Columbus Blue Jackets lose to the Colorado Avalanche
  • Both the Canadiens and Blue Jackets lose in regulation

The Avalanche will clinch a playoff berth if:

  • They defeat the Blue Jackets
  • They lose in overtime/shootout to the Blue Jackets, AND the Calgary Flames lose to the Anaheim Ducks
  • The Flames lose to the Ducks in regulation

Thursday`s Games

Note: All times ET. Games may be available for streaming.

  • Boston Bruins at Montreal Canadiens, 7 p.m.
  • Tampa Bay Lightning at Ottawa Senators, 7 p.m.
  • Colorado Avalanche at Columbus Blue Jackets, 7:30 p.m.
  • Pittsburgh Penguins at St. Louis Blues, 8 p.m.
  • Nashville Predators at Dallas Stars, 8 p.m.
  • Los Angeles Kings at Utah Hockey Club, 9 p.m.
  • Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames, 9:30 p.m.
  • Winnipeg Jets at Vegas Golden Knights, 10 p.m.
  • Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks, 10:30 p.m.

Wednesday`s Scoreboard

  • New York Rangers 5, Minnesota Wild 4 (OT)
  • Carolina Hurricanes 5, Washington Capitals 1
  • Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Florida Panthers 2
  • Colorado Avalanche 3, Chicago Blackhawks 2 (SO)
  • Seattle Kraken 5, Vancouver Canucks 0

Expanded Standings

Atlantic Division

Toronto Maple Leafs Logo

x – Toronto Maple Leafs

Points: 96

Regulation wins: 38

Playoff position: A1

Games left: 7

Points pace: 105.0

Next game: vs. CBJ (Saturday)

Playoff chances: 100%

Tragic number: N/A

Tampa Bay Lightning Logo

Tampa Bay Lightning

Points: 93

Regulation wins: 38

Playoff position: A2

Games left: 8

Points pace: 103.1

Next game: @ OTT (Thursday)

Playoff chances: 99.9%

Tragic number: N/A

Florida Panthers Logo

Florida Panthers

Points: 92

Regulation wins: 35

Playoff position: A3

Games left: 7

Points pace: 100.6

Next game: @ OTT (Saturday)

Playoff chances: 99.9%

Tragic number: N/A

Ottawa Senators Logo

Ottawa Senators

Points: 84

Regulation wins: 30

Playoff position: WC1

Games left: 8

Points pace: 93.1

Next game: vs. TB (Thursday)

Playoff chances: 98.5%

Tragic number: N/A

Montreal Canadiens Logo

Montreal Canadiens

Points: 79

Regulation wins: 25

Playoff position: WC2

Games left: 8

Points pace: 87.5

Next game: vs. BOS (Thursday)

Playoff chances: 42.1%

Tragic number: N/A

Detroit Red Wings Logo

Detroit Red Wings

Points: 75

Regulation wins: 26

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 8

Points pace: 83.1

Next game: vs. CAR (Friday)

Playoff chances: 2.7%

Tragic number: 13

Buffalo Sabres Logo

Buffalo Sabres

Points: 70

Regulation wins: 26

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 8

Points pace: 77.6

Next game: vs. TB (Saturday)

Playoff chances: 0.1%

Tragic number: 8

Boston Bruins Logo

Boston Bruins

Points: 69

Regulation wins: 23

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 7

Points pace: 75.4

Next game: @ MTL (Thursday)

Playoff chances: ~0%

Tragic number: 5


Metro Division

Washington Capitals Logo

x – Washington Capitals

Points: 105

Regulation wins: 41

Playoff position: M1

Games left: 7

Points pace: 114.8

Next game: vs. CHI (Friday)

Playoff chances: 100%

Tragic number: N/A

Carolina Hurricanes Logo

x – Carolina Hurricanes

Points: 96

Regulation wins: 41

Playoff position: M2

Games left: 8

Points pace: 106.4

Next game: @ DET (Friday)

Playoff chances: 100%

Tragic number: N/A

New Jersey Devils Logo

New Jersey Devils

Points: 87

Regulation wins: 35

Playoff position: M3

Games left: 6

Points pace: 93.9

Next game: vs. NYR (Saturday)

Playoff chances: 99.7%

Tragic number: N/A

New York Rangers Logo

New York Rangers

Points: 79

Regulation wins: 32

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 7

Points pace: 86.4

Next game: @ NJ (Saturday)

Playoff chances: 26.8%

Tragic number: 15

Columbus Blue Jackets Logo

Columbus Blue Jackets

Points: 77

Regulation wins: 24

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 9

Points pace: 86.5

Next game: vs. COL (Thursday)

Playoff chances: 27.4%

Tragic number: 17

New York Islanders Logo

New York Islanders

Points: 74

Regulation wins: 25

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 8

Points pace: 82.0

Next game: vs. MIN (Friday)

Playoff chances: 2.8%

Tragic number: 12

Pittsburgh Penguins Logo

Pittsburgh Penguins

Points: 71

Regulation wins: 20

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 7

Points pace: 77.6

Next game: @ STL (Thursday)

Playoff chances: 0.1%

Tragic number: 7

Philadelphia Flyers Logo

Philadelphia Flyers

Points: 71

Regulation wins: 20

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 6

Points pace: 76.6

Next game: @ MTL (Saturday)

Playoff chances: ~0%

Tragic number: 5


Central Division

Winnipeg Jets Logo

x – Winnipeg Jets

Points: 106

Regulation wins: 40

Playoff position: C1

Games left: 7

Points pace: 115.9

Next game: @ VGK (Thursday)

Playoff chances: 100%

Tragic number: N/A

Dallas Stars Logo

x – Dallas Stars

Points: 102

Regulation wins: 40

Playoff position: C2

Games left: 8

Points pace: 113.0

Next game: vs. NSH (Thursday)

Playoff chances: 100%

Tragic number: N/A

Colorado Avalanche Logo

Colorado Avalanche

Points: 96

Regulation wins: 38

Playoff position: C3

Games left: 6

Points pace: 103.6

Next game: @ CBJ (Thursday)

Playoff chances: 99.9%

Tragic number: N/A

Minnesota Wild Logo

Minnesota Wild

Points: 89

Regulation wins: 33

Playoff position: WC1

Games left: 6

Points pace: 96.0

Next game: @ NYI (Friday)

Playoff chances: 94.8%

Tragic number: N/A

St. Louis Blues Logo

St. Louis Blues

Points: 89

Regulation wins: 30

Playoff position: WC2

Games left: 6

Points pace: 96.0

Next game: vs. PIT (Thursday)

Playoff chances: 97.8%

Tragic number: N/A

Utah Hockey Club Logo

Utah Hockey Club

Points: 80

Regulation wins: 26

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 7

Points pace: 87.5

Next game: vs. LA (Thursday)

Playoff chances: 0.7%

Tragic number: 6

Nashville Predators Logo

e – Nashville Predators

Points: 62

Regulation wins: 23

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 7

Points pace: 67.8

Next game: @ DAL (Thursday)

Playoff chances: 0%

Tragic number: E

Chicago Blackhawks Logo

e – Chicago Blackhawks

Points: 52

Regulation wins: 18

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 7

Points pace: 56.9

Next game: @ WSH (Friday)

Playoff chances: 0%

Tragic number: E


Pacific Division

Vegas Golden Knights Logo

x – Vegas Golden Knights

Points: 98

Regulation wins: 42

Playoff position: P1

Games left: 8

Points pace: 108.6

Next game: vs. WPG (Thursday)

Playoff chances: 100%

Tragic number: N/A

Los Angeles Kings Logo

Los Angeles Kings

Points: 93

Regulation wins: 37

Playoff position: P3

Games left: 8

Points pace: 103.1

Next game: @ UTA (Thursday)

Playoff chances: 99.9%

Tragic number: N/A

Edmonton Oilers Logo

Edmonton Oilers

Points: 91

Regulation wins: 31

Playoff position: P2

Games left: 8

Points pace: 100.8

Next game: @ SJ (Thursday)

Playoff chances: 99.9%

Tragic number: N/A

Calgary Flames Logo

Calgary Flames

Points: 82

Regulation wins: 26

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 8

Points pace: 90.9

Next game: vs. ANA (Thursday)

Playoff chances: 5.9%

Tragic number: 10

Vancouver Canucks Logo

Vancouver Canucks

Points: 81

Regulation wins: 26

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 7

Points pace: 88.6

Next game: vs. ANA (Saturday)

Playoff chances: 0.8%

Tragic number: 7

Anaheim Ducks Logo

Anaheim Ducks

Points: 74

Regulation wins: 23

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 8

Points pace: 82.0

Next game: @ CGY (Thursday)

Playoff chances: ~0%

Tragic number: 2

Seattle Kraken Logo

e – Seattle Kraken

Points: 70

Regulation wins: 26

Playoff position: N/A

Games left: 6

Points pace: 75.5

Next game: @ SJ (Saturday)

Playoff chances: 0%

Tragic number: E

San Jose Sharks Logo

e – San Jose Sharks

Points: 50

Regulation wins: 14

Note: An `x` means that the team has clinched a playoff berth. An `e` means that the team has been eliminated from playoff contention.


Race for the No. 1 Pick

The NHL uses a draft lottery to determine the order of the first round, so the team that finishes in last place is not guaranteed the No. 1 selection. A team can move up a maximum of 10 spots if it wins the lottery, so only 11 teams are eligible for the No. 1 pick. Matthew Schaefer, a defenseman for the OHL`s Erie Otters, is expected to be a top pick.

San Jose Sharks Logo

1. San Jose Sharks

Points: 50

Regulation wins: 14

Chicago Blackhawks Logo

2. Chicago Blackhawks

Points: 52

Regulation wins: 18

Nashville Predators Logo

3. Nashville Predators

Points: 62

Regulation wins: 23

Boston Bruins Logo

4. Boston Bruins

Points: 69

Regulation wins: 23

Seattle Kraken Logo

5. Seattle Kraken

Points: 70

Regulation wins: 26

Buffalo Sabres Logo

6. Buffalo Sabres

Points: 70

Regulation wins: 26

Philadelphia Flyers Logo

7. Philadelphia Flyers

Points: 71

Regulation wins: 20

Pittsburgh Penguins Logo

8. Pittsburgh Penguins

Points: 71

Regulation wins: 20

Anaheim Ducks Logo

9. Anaheim Ducks

Points: 74

Regulation wins: 23

New York Islanders Logo

10. New York Islanders

Points: 74

Regulation wins: 25

Detroit Red Wings Logo

11. Detroit Red Wings

Points: 75

Regulation wins: 26

Columbus Blue Jackets Logo

12. Columbus Blue Jackets

Points: 77

Regulation wins: 24

New York Rangers Logo

13. New York Rangers

Points: 79

Regulation wins: 32

Utah Hockey Club Logo

14. Utah Hockey Club

Points: 80

Regulation wins: 26

Vancouver Canucks Logo

15. Vancouver Canucks

Points: 81

Regulation wins: 26

Calgary Flames Logo

16. Calgary Flames

Points: 82

Regulation wins: 26

By Adrian Whitmore

Adrian Whitmore, 41, brings over fifteen years of experience covering tennis and golf tournaments from his base in Liverpool. His distinctive storytelling approach combines statistical analysis with behind-the-scenes insights.

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