Spain and France are set to face off in a UEFA Nations League semifinal on Thursday, June 5, 2025. Both teams secured first place in their initial groups, with only one defeat combined over 12 group stage matches. Spain holds a slight edge in recent head-to-head results, winning two of the last three encounters. However, France emerged victorious in their last Nations League meeting in 2021, decided by a winning goal from Kylian Mbappe.
The match will kick off at 3 p.m. ET from MHPArena in Stuttgart, Germany. According to the latest odds, Spain is favored at +130, meaning a $100 bet could win $130. France, known as Les Bleus, are considered underdogs at +200. A draw is listed at +220, and the over/under for total goals is set at 2.5. For those looking for betting insights, expert Jon `Buckets` Eimer has provided his analysis.
Eimer is a highly-regarded soccer expert, recognized as SportsLine`s top analyst in 2023 with a strong record of 248-234-12 (+25.93 units) on his article picks. He has continued his success into 2025, showing profitability across various major leagues like the Premier League, Champions League, and La Liga. His followers have seen significant gains.
Here are Eimer`s best bets for Spain vs. France on Thursday:
- BTTS (-110)
- Lamine Yamal to score or assist (+160)
- Ousmane Dembele to score or assist (+150)
Both teams to score (-110)
Eimer highlights that the semifinal pits “two of the most impressive attacks in the entirety of Europe” against each other. He points out that Spain`s recent matches have been high-scoring, with over 2.5 goals in their last five consecutive games. France has also demonstrated potent offense, scoring 14 goals while conceding 8 during the Nations League group stage. The `Both Teams to Score` outcome has occurred in the last two head-to-head clashes between Spain and France.
Lamine Yamal to score or assist (+160)
Lamine Yamal is highlighted as a key component of Spain`s strong attack. In the Nations League, he has recorded a goal and an assist. He also finished the 2024-25 La Liga season strongly for Barcelona, contributing three goals and an assist in his last four matches.
Ousmane Dembele to score or assist (+150)
Ousmane Dembele, the French forward, has had a successful spring, winning both Ligue 1 and the Champions League final with Paris Saint-Germain. This season, Dembele has been prolific, with 21 goals and six assists in 20 domestic starts. He also contributed eight goals and six assists in the Champions League, alongside two goals in five Nations League appearances.
Adrian Whitmore